Track record · Markets

Markets arbitrage results — settled positions

170 markets positions recommended by PROVISUM and since resolved by Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless and Predict.fun, with both legs, the resolved outcome and the realised result per $1,000.

170
Markets positions recommended & settled
+3.20%
Average per position
+$5,446
Combined, per $1,000 each

How a cross-venue hedge works

Two venues price the same event independently. When they disagree far enough, you buy YES on one and NO on the other for a combined cost under $1.00. If both venues settle the question the same way, exactly one leg pays $1.00 whichever way the world goes, and the profit is locked in the moment both legs are bought.

Every position below actually closed and was resolved by the venues themselves - settled outcomes, not projections or simulations. Figures are stated per $1,000 committed, net of fees. Of 283 recommended positions, 259 held and 24 broke; the total above includes both.

A hedge breaks when the two markets turn out not to be the same event, or when the two venues resolve the same fact from different sources — then both legs can lose. The matching engine flags every cause we have identified, but broken hedges have continued to occur. That is why the board's default view shows only locked-in pairs (low match risk at entry): 398 of 400 have held so far. That is a track record, not a guarantee. Past resolutions do not predict future ones, and nothing here is financial advice.

Markets positions

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.013 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.930 Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu resolved YES
hedge broke
−$1,000
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-30

Will Camila Reynoso win by KO or TKO?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.070 Will Camila Reynoso win by KO or TKO? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.820 Contender Series: Bertolso vs Reynoso — Camila Reynoso resolved NO
hedge held
+$99
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-29

Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.029 Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved YES
  • KALSHI NO at $0.950 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin — Bad Bunny resolved YES
hedge held
+$11
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-28
locked-in · low match risk

Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.120 Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.830 MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year — Ariana Grande resolved NO
hedge held
+$42
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.850 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative — Olivia Rodrigo resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.130 Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved YES
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will “Homewrecker” by Sombr win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.060 Will “Homewrecker” by Sombr win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.920 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative — SOMBR resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.320 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance — PinkPantheress resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.640 Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved NO
hedge held
+$20
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will “Drag Path” by Twenty One Pilots win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.020 Will “Drag Path” by Twenty One Pilots win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.960 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative — twenty one pilots resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will “The Great Divide” by Noah Kahan win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.017 Will “The Great Divide” by Noah Kahan win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.970 MTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative — Noah Kahan resolved NO
hedge held
+$3
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-27
locked-in · low match risk

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.010 What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? — AI / Artificial Intelligence resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.960 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? resolved NO
hedge held
+$20
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-24

Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.230 What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? — Economy / Economic resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? resolved NO
hedge held
+$20
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-24

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.430 What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? — China (5+ times) resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.540 Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-24

FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.041 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.974 Will FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.984 Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-23? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-23
locked-in · low match risk

Servette FC Chênois Féminin vs. OL Lyonnes

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.981 Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-09-23? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.972 Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin vs. OL Lyonnes end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.046 Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-23? resolved YES
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-23
locked-in · low match risk

Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.046 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.969 Will Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.984 Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-23
locked-in · low match risk

Arsenal WFC vs. HB Køge

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.070 Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-22? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.957 Will Arsenal WFC vs. HB Køge end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.972 Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-22
locked-in · low match risk

Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.390 Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-09-22? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.800 Will Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.800 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-22? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-22
locked-in · low match risk

FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.530 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will BK Häcken FF win on 2026-09-22? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-22
locked-in · low match risk

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.480 Leeds United vs Crystal Palace: Team Corners — Leeds United: 6+ resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.450 Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? resolved NO
hedge held
+$53
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-20

Chelsea FC vs. Birmingham City WFC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.080 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-19? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Will Chelsea FC vs. Birmingham City WFC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.979 Will Birmingham City WFC win on 2026-09-19? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-19
locked-in · low match risk

CF América vs. CD Guadalajara

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.630 Will CF América win on 2026-09-19? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will CF América vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.600 Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-19
locked-in · low match risk

FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.510 FC Viktoria Plzeň to score first vs. RU Saint-Gilloise? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.530 RU Saint-Gilloise to score first vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.950 FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-17
locked-in · low match risk

LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.630 Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-16? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-16
locked-in · low match risk

Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.160 What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? — Dissent resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.820 Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference? resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-15

Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC Sion

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will Grasshopper Club Zurich win on 2026-09-15? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC Sion end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.470 Will FC Sion win on 2026-09-15? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-15
locked-in · low match risk

Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.370 Deportivo Alavés to score first vs. Valencia CF? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Valencia CF to score first vs. Deportivo Alavés? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.910 Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-15
locked-in · low match risk

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.090 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.969 Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-15
locked-in · low match risk

SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - Exact Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.991 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.966 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 0 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.992 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 0 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.962 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 1 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.997 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.930 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 0 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 1 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.983 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.920 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.963 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.997 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.958 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 2 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.989 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.987 Exact Score: SV 07 Elversberg 3 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.480 Exact Score: Any Other Score? resolved NO
hedge held
+$0
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-13
locked-in · low match risk

Silkeborg IF vs. Viborg FF

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-13? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.770 Will Silkeborg IF vs. Viborg FF end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.460 Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-13? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-13
locked-in · low match risk

FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.090 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.968 Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-13
locked-in · low match risk

SS Lazio vs. AC Milan

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-12? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.540 Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-12
locked-in · low match risk

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-09-12? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.570 Will FC Seoul win on 2026-09-12? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-12
locked-in · low match risk

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.335 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.640 US Open Men's Singles Winner — Ben Shelton resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-12
locked-in · low match risk

Elon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.530 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.770 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.950 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.990 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-11
locked-in · low match risk

Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.830 Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.370 Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-11
locked-in · low match risk

Bank of Russia decision in September?

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.880 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.010 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.994 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? resolved NO
hedge held
+$62
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-11

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.122 Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? resolved NO
  • KALSHI NO at $0.860 US Open Women's Singles Winner — Coco Gauff resolved NO
hedge held
+$8
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-11

Mantova 1911 vs. UC Sampdoria

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.550 Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-13? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Mantova 1911 vs. UC Sampdoria end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.740 Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-09-13? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-10
locked-in · low match risk

Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.490 Will Orsomarso SC win on 2026-09-10? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Will Tigres FC win on 2026-09-10? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-10
locked-in · low match risk

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.840 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.500 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.991 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.997 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.998 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.999 Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? resolved NO
hedge held
+$3
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-10
locked-in · low match risk

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.490 US Open Men's Singles Winner — Alexander Zverev resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.486 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? resolved YES
hedge held
+$4
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-10

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.070 US Open Women's Singles Winner — Mirra Andreeva resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.915 Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

  • POLYMARKET YES at $0.148 Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? resolved YES
  • KALSHI NO at $0.840 US Open Women's Singles Winner — Elena Rybakina resolved YES
hedge held
+$2
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09

Tartu JK Tammeka vs. Paide Linnameeskond

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Tartu JK Tammeka win on 2026-09-09? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will Tartu JK Tammeka vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.530 Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-09-09? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09
locked-in · low match risk

Test Series England vs Pakistan: England vs Pakistan

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.040 Will England win? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.997 Will the match end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.960 Will Pakistan win? resolved NO
hedge held
+$2
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09
locked-in · low match risk

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.320 US Open Men's Singles Winner — Carlos Alcaraz resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.650 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09

Sandvikens IF vs. IK Oddevold

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.580 Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-09-09? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.720 Will Sandvikens IF vs. IK Oddevold end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.690 Will IK Oddevold win on 2026-09-09? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09
locked-in · low match risk

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.060 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.957 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.982 Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-09
locked-in · low match risk

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.290 US Open Women's Singles Winner — Aryna Sabalenka resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-08

Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.570 Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-08? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.740 Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-08? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-08
locked-in · low match risk

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.010 US Open Women's Singles Winner — Iga Swiatek resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.979 Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-07

FC Nantes vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.480 Will FC Nantes win on 2026-09-07? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will FC Nantes vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.780 Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-09-07? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-07
locked-in · low match risk

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.510 Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-07
locked-in · low match risk

Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.570 Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.690 Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-07
locked-in · low match risk

Club León FC vs. CF América

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Club León FC win on 2026-09-06? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.740 Will Club León FC vs. CF América end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.550 Will CF América win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.320 Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-07? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.880 Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-09-07? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.110 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.930 Will FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.959 Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.994 Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.900 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.300 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.820 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.981 Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.998 Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Valencia CF to score first vs. FC Barcelona? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.240 FC Barcelona to score first vs. Valencia CF? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.967 Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$2
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.660 Will Cesena FC win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.630 Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.610 Everton FC to score first vs. Manchester United FC? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.440 Manchester United FC to score first vs. Everton FC? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Júbilo Iwata vs. Kataller Toyama

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.570 Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will Júbilo Iwata vs. Kataller Toyama end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-09-06? resolved YES
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Gamba Ōsaka

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.740 Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-09-06? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.500 Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.510 Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.780 Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.590 Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-06
locked-in · low match risk

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

  • KALSHI YES at $0.100 US Open Men's Singles Winner — Taylor Fritz resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.885 Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

AFC Ajax vs. PSV

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.620 Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.760 Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.610 Will PSV win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München - Exact Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.985 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.950 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.989 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.920 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.950 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.995 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 2 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.910 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.920 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.982 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.998 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 3 - 0 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.920 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.960 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 2 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.995 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 3 - 1 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.963 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 2 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.991 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 3 - 2 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.990 Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 3 - 3 FC Bayern München? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.570 Exact Score: Any Other Score? resolved NO
hedge held
+$1
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

CA Aldosivi vs. CA Banfield

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.650 Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.680 Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Banfield end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.660 Will CA Banfield win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

KFC Komárno vs. MFK Skalica

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.450 Will KFC Komárno win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will KFC Komárno vs. MFK Skalica end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Will MFK Skalica win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.290 Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-06? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.800 Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.900 Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-09-06? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Bamber Bridge FC vs. Trafford FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.430 Will Bamber Bridge FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.810 Will Bamber Bridge FC vs. Trafford FC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will Trafford FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Hartlepool United FC vs. Woking FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.580 Will Hartlepool United FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.710 Will Hartlepool United FC vs. Woking FC end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.700 Will Woking FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.210 Manchester City FC to score first vs. Coventry City FC? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.810 Coventry City FC to score first vs. Manchester City FC? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.972 Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$4
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Stade de Reims vs. En Avant Guingamp

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.420 Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.750 Will Stade de Reims vs. En Avant Guingamp end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.820 Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - First Team to Score

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.440 Newcastle United FC to score first vs. AFC Bournemouth? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.600 AFC Bournemouth to score first vs. Newcastle United FC? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.940 Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Neither team to score first? resolved NO
hedge held
+$10
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.390 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.790 Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.810 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Forge FC Hamilton vs. Inter Toronto FC

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.220 Will Forge FC Hamilton win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.860 Will Forge FC Hamilton vs. Inter Toronto FC end in a draw? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.910 Will Inter Toronto FC win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz vs. SC Austria Lustenau

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.890 Will SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.850 Will SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz vs. SC Austria Lustenau end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.250 Will SC Austria Lustenau win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Degerfors IF vs. Halmstads BK

  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.490 Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-09-05? resolved YES
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.730 Will Degerfors IF vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw? resolved NO
  • POLYMARKET NO at $0.770 Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-09-05? resolved NO
hedge held
+$5
per $1,000 · settled 2026-09-05
locked-in · low match risk

Other subjects

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