Disclaimer

PROVISUM is not financial advice. It is an informational and educational tool that scans public prediction-market data. It is not a broker, exchange, investment adviser or fiduciary, and it does not execute trades or custody funds.

Data accuracy

All market data is retrieved from third-party venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Smarkets) on a recurring interval. It may be delayed, incomplete, or differ from what those venues display at any given moment. You must independently verify all prices and resolution rules on the venue before acting.

No guarantee

Displayed spreads are top-of-book, pre-slippage and pre-tax. An arbitrage only holds if both markets resolve on identical rules, sources and deadlines — similar wording is not identical resolution. Fees, taxes (winnings are taxable, and on a cross-venue hedge you may owe tax on the winning leg without being able to deduct the losing one), order-book depth, capital lock-up, withdrawal costs, price movement, and jurisdictional eligibility can all erase a displayed edge. Nothing here is a guarantee of profit.

Your responsibility

Trading prediction markets carries risk of loss. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and for complying with the laws and venue rules that apply to you. Never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Questions? See the FAQ or the Disclaimer.