An arbitrage terminal that respects your intelligence.

The premise

Prediction markets are one of the most honest information sources on earth: real money, real consequences, real-time. But there are now five serious venues pricing overlapping questions, and they don't agree. Where they disagree by enough, there's a hedge that pays out regardless of the outcome. Those windows are small, they close fast, and finding them means watching everything at once.

So we built a machine that does. It crawls all five venues on a schedule, matches the same event across them, prices the fee-adjusted hedge, and verifies it against live depth — then shows you what survives.

Our one rule: don't fool the user

It is trivially easy to build an arbitrage scanner that shows dozens of eye-watering "edges." Almost all of them are wrong — two markets that sound alike but resolve differently. We spend most of our engineering effort on the opposite problem: throwing those out. Confidence scores, parent-question matching, strike and date guards, two-outcome verification for same-venue hedges. We would rather show you three real opportunities than thirty fake ones.

How we treat data

Everything is live and logged. We don't cherry-pick a track record; the recently-closed feed shows what actually happened to signals after they appeared. And we are loud about the limits: prices are interval snapshots that can drift from the venue, spreads are top-of-book until you verify, and an arbitrage only holds if both markets truly resolve identically. The terminal points you where to look. The due diligence is yours.

What PROVISUM is not

It is not financial advice, not a broker, not a managed fund. It never executes trades or touches your money. It is a research tool for people who want to see market inefficiencies clearly and decide for themselves. If that's you, start with a free trial.